MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1712
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0400 PM CDT FRI AUG 10 2007
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...SERN VA...ERN ND
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 580...
   
   VALID 102100Z - 102300Z
   
   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 580
   CONTINUES.
   
   THREAT FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS CONTINUES ACROSS WW 580.
   
   LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS VERY HOT TEMPERATURES WITHIN SURFACE
   TROUGH FROM SRN VA INTO CNTRL NC. STORMS ARE ONGOING ACROSS NERN NC
   WITH OUTFLOW BOUNDARY NOTED MOVING SOUTH. JUST SOUTH OF THIS OUTFLOW
   BOUNDARY...RELATIVELY STRONG PRESSURE FALLS HAVE BEEN NOTED IN THE
   GSB-ISO AREA. THUS...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE RAPIDLY IN THIS
   AREA WHERE CONVERGENCE IS MAXIMIZED...OR NEAR SURFACE LOW
   CENTER/OUTFLOW BOUNDARY INTERSECTION. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ARE LIKELY
   WITH THE STRONGEST CELLS...AND THE THREAT WILL LIKELY SPREAD SWD
   WITH TIME.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 08/10/2007
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...
   
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