Thurman-Raytheon Distinguished Professor of Economics
Department of Economics
4168 Nelson Hall
International Econometrics Conference - Center for Economics and Econometrics, Bogazici University
The conference will be held in Istanbul, Turkey at Bogazici University, on Saturday June 21, 2014. The conference addresses all aspects of econometrics. There will be no parallel sessions. A list for accommodation and other details will be provided after the program is announced.
The title of the paper and an abstract has to be submitted before April 15, 2014 to Mehmet Caner (firstname.lastname@example.org) or Burak Saltoglu (email@example.com).
1."Near Exogeneity and Weak Identification in Generalized Empirical Likelihood Estimators: Many Moment Asymptotics", Forthcoming, 2014, Journal of Econometrics.
This article analyzes tests in a general violation of exogeneity setting in combination with many weak moments in generalized empirical likelihood estimators. The interesting result is both the mean and variance for estimators change due to this violation. We have new limits for estimators and tests depending on the magnitude of the violation as well as the number of moments. A gauss code for TABLE 4B for Anderson-Rubin test is provided: arnem .
2"Selecting the Correct Number of Factors in Approximate Factor
Models: The Large Panel Case with Group Bridge Estimator" Forthcoming, 2014, Journal of Business and Economics Statistics, with Xu Han, City University of Hong Kong.
For code please consult Xu Han. The paper provides a novel way of selecting number of factors thru factor loading penalization. On the way it introduces a new group bridge shrinkage estimator.
3."Adaptive Elastic Net GMM with Diverging Number of Moments", 2014 , vol.32, p30-47, Journal of Business and Economics Statistics, joint with Helen Zhang, Math Department, University of Arizona. Gauss code for simulations in the text aenet2.
R code aenetgmm.Rwho does limited simulations, but some initial value problems in optimizer, please run several times. The paper shows adaptive elastic net with diverging number of moments, but does only model selection with diverging number of parameters, no moment selection in this paper.
4. "Valid Tests When Instrumental Variables Do Not Perfectly Satisfy the Exclusion Restriction" 2013, Stata Journal, Forthcoming, Andres Riquelme, Dan Berkowitz,. This is STATA function for paper "The Validity of Instruments Revisited" J. of Econometrics, 2012,below. Shows a resampling technique that is robust to minor violations of exogeneity, and uses data dependent critical values for Anderson-Rubin test. It contains a better function than paper 6, and has extensive simulations in the paper, and empirical example.
5. "An Alternative to Unit Root Tests: Bridge Estimators Differentiate between Nonstationary versus Stationary Models and Select Optimal Lag", 2013, 143, 691-715 Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, with Keith Knight, University of Toronto,
Department of Statistics. The paper proposes Bridge estimators to select nonstationary versus stationary models.
6. "CUE with nearly-singular design and many weak moment asymptotics". 2012, Journal of Econometrics,170, p.422-441, with N. Yildiz,
The paper finds what happens when there are highly correlated instruments in a many weak asymptotics framework.
A computer program for simulations in Table 2, in Gauss: jkgmm1
7. "The Validity of Instruments Revisited", 2012, Journal Of Econometrics,(with Dan Berkowitz,Univ. of Pittsburgh,Ying Fang, Xiamen Univ.) Vol.166-2, 255-267.
This paper calculates a resampled Anderson-Rubin test that is also robust to local violations of exogeneity in instruments.
Stata files:far.ado is a function, and here is the help file: far.pdf and Table7a.dta is from Acemoglu-Johnson-Robinson,AER, 2001. You can load your own data and use this program, just you have to enter variable names.
8. "Editor's Introduction, Thirty years of GMM", 2012, Journal of Econometrics, (with Marine Carrasco (main editor), Yuichi Kitamura, Eric Renault)166-2, 251-255.
9. "Pivotal Structural Change Tests in Linear Simultaneous Equations Models with Weak Identification", 2011 Econometric Theory. Vol 27.2. 413-427.
10."A Pretest to Differentiate Between Weak and Nearly-Weak Instrument Asymptotics", 2011, International Econometric Review.
11."Determinants of Norwegian Sovereign Wealth Fund Shares: Lucas Paradox Survives", with Turanay Caner, Tom Grennes.2011, Global Economy Journal, Berkeley Electronic Press.
12. "Exponential Tilting with Weak Instruments: Estimation and Testing", 2010, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics.72, 307-326.
13. "Sovereign Wealth Funds: the Norwegian Experience" with Tom Grennes, The World Economy, 2010, 33, 597-614.
14. "Testing, Estimation in GMM and CUE with Nearly-Weak Identification", Econometric Reviews, 2010, 29, 330-363 .
15.Book Chapter: "Finding The Tipping Point-When Sovereign Debt Turns Bad" Sovereign Debt and Financial Crisis ,(refereed), 2010, (joint with Tom Grennes,NCSU, Fritzi Koehler-Geib, World Bank),p64-75.
16. "The Norwegian Sovereign Wealth Fund" (joint with Tom Grennes,NCSU). Revue d'Economie Financiere, 2009.(Invited Article)
17. "LASSO Type GMM Estimator" Econometric Theory, 2009, 25, 1-23.
18. "Nearly-Singular Design in GMM and Generalized Empirical Likelihood Estimators" Journal of Econometrics, 2008, 144, 511-523.
19."Are Nearly Exogenous Instruments Reliable?" with D. Berkowitz, Y. Fang, Economics Letters, 2008, 101, 20-23.
20. "Boundedly Pivotal Structural Change Tests in Continuous Updating GMM with Strong, Weak Identification and Completely Unidentified Cases" Journal of Econometrics, 2007, 137, 28-67.
21. " M Estimators with Non-Standard Rates of Convergence and Weakly Dependent Data", April 2006, Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 136, 1207-1219.
22. Corrigendum with
23. "Are Real Exchange Rates non-stationary or non-linear? Evidence from
a new Threshold Unit Root Test," (with E. Basci, Central Bank of
24. " Instrumental Variable Estimation of a Threshold Model," (
with Bruce Hansen,
25. "Time-Varying Betas Help in Asset Pricing: Threshold CAPM," ( with L. Akdeniz and A. Salih, Bilkent University). Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics 2003, January.
26." A Note on LAD Estimation of a Threshold Model," Econometric Theory, 18, June 2002, 800-814. (Appeared in Articles Section)
27." Threshold Autoregressions with a Unit Root," ( with Bruce E. Hansen), Econometrica,69, November 2001, 1555-1597.
28. " Size Distortions of Tests of the Null Hypothesis of Stationarity: Evidence and Implications for the PPP debate," (with Lutz Kilian, Univ. of Michigan), Journal of International Money and Finance, 20, October 2001, 639-657.
29. "Tests for Cointegration with Infinite Variance Errors," Journal of Econometrics, 86, September 1998,155-175.
30. "A Locally Optimal Seasonal Unit Root Test," Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 16, July 1998, 349-356.
31. "Weak Convergence to a Matrix Stochastic Integral with Stable Processes," Econometric Theory, 13, August 1997,506-29.
PAPERS UNDER REVISE AND RESUBMIT:
Near Exogeneity and Weak Identification in Generalized Empirical Likelihood Estimators: Many Moment Asymptotics".
Hybrid GEL Estimators: Instrument Selection with Adaptive Lasso, with Michael Fan, Xiamen University, WISE
A New Paradigm: A Joint Test of Structural and Correlation Parameters in Instrumental Variables Regression when Perfect Exogeneity is Violated" with Melinda Sandler Morrill, NCSU.
"An oracle inequality for Convex Models " with A. Bredahl Kock , Arhus.
“Dynamic panel data estimators via adaptive elastic net: the case of invalid moment conditions” with Y. Lee (Univ. of Michigan-Ann Arbor), X. Han (City University of Hong Kong)
WORK IN PROGRESS:
"A tale of two funds: Russian anNorwegian Sovereign Wealth Funds" with Yelena Tuzova, Claremont Grad University, Tom Grennes.
"An Oracle inequality for smoothed functions"
Journal of Econometrics Fellow, 2012.
Multa Scripsit Award, Econometric Theory, 2005.
Owens Scholar 2012-2013, NCSU.
Department Research Growth & Innovation Award, 2009, North Carolina State University, Economics Department.
EDITORIAL ACTIVITY :
1. Associate Editor, Journal of Econometrics, Jan 1 2013-.
2. Associate Editor, Journal of Business and Economics Statistics, Jan 1 2014-
3. Associate Editor, Econometric Reviews, 2013 January-..
4. Associate Editor, Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics, 2012 March-..
5.Co-Editor, Special Issue of Journal Of Econometrics, 25 years of GMM, 2009-2012, OCTOBER 2012 ISSUE.
6. Co-Editor, Special Issue of Econometric Reviews, Model Selection and Shrinkage.
Ph.D Students: Advised: 1. George Levi Gayle, (Reader),
SHORT TERM CONSULTING: THE WORLD BANK: JAN 2010, JUNE 2011.
Member, Scientific Advisory Board, CEFAGE, Portugal.
Research Associate: Info-Metrics Institute DC.